Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2024-08-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1118 | 37% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1003 | 1153 | 30% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1186 | 1218 | 45% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1133.1 has a 36.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).