Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 959 | 1070 | 35% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 910 | 1218 | 15% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 910 | 85% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 698 | 1030 | 13% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1000.4 vs 1063.6 has a 40.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).