The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (7 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 23
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 984 | 44% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 917 | 76% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1273 | 33% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 913 | 945 | 45% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 991 | 69% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 998 | 1250 | 19% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1051.3 has a 46.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).