The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 909 | 969 | 41% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1059 | 926 | 68% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1259 | 29% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 950 | 1096 | 30% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1028 | 997 | 54% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 1151 | 24% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 1218 | 26% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1073.8 has a 40.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).