The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 962 | 950 | 52% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 930 | 68% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1259 | 29% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1046 | 40% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 998 | 63% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 922 | 1256 | 13% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1003.7 vs 1046.2 has a 43.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).