The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-08-25 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-04-05 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-08-18 | | Won |
| 1099 | 907 | 75% | 2022-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-05-31 | | Won |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-05-17 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-05-14 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-03-27 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1187 | 46% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1012 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).