Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1150 | 999 | 70% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
1004 | 1400 | 9% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
954 | 931 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
923 | 1069 | 30% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1126 | 1011 | 66% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1069.4 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).