The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (7 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2022-03-24 | Won |
| 1042 | 983 | 58% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1173 | 933 | 80% | 2020-12-26 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1099 vs 1034.3 has a 59.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).