Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 7
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1044 | 45% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-01-12 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1052 | 55% | 2018-12-17 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1090 | 39% | 2018-09-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1057.9 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).