Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (North Korean): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1098 | 38% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1184 | 38% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1024 | 56% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1085 | 41% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1073.3 has a 47.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).