Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1032 | 43% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1095 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 878 | 71% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1174 | 46% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1338 | 1263 | 61% | 2019-08-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1217 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1123 | 33% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1080.6 has a 52.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).