Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1099 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 927 | 65% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1141 | 48% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1106 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 1064.6 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).