Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1011 | 69% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1047 | 61% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1091 | 33% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1038.4 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).