Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1345 | 1259 | 62% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 812 | 1003 | 25% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 936 | 75% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 960 | 954 | 51% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 1133 | 51% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1037.8 has a 54.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).