Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (10 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1345 | 1266 | 61% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 810 | 979 | 27% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1009 | 68% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 909 | 1079 | 27% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 993 | 45% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1213 | 929 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1157 | 1132 | 54% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1050.4 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).