Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1029 | 1126 | 36% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
1169 | 955 | 77% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
1074 | 1146 | 40% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
1092 | 1069 | 53% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
1021 | 1250 | 21% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
769 | 1250 | 6% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
1056 | 981 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
985 | 1310 | 13% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1115.9 has a 40.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).