Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2026-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2026-05-10 | | Won |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2026-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1152 | 35% | 2024-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 950 | 81% | 2023-04-10 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-04-13 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1059 | 42% | 2021-02-09 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1284 | 18% | 2020-10-12 | | Won |
| 728 | 1284 | 4% | 2020-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2019-06-30 | | Won |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2019-06-30 | | Tied |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1219 | 21% | 2017-02-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1060.9 has a 44.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).