A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 12
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1077 | 57% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1119 | 43% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 863 | 955 | 37% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1084 | 46% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1069.4 has a 42.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).