A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1100 | 52% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1248 | 1064 | 74% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1119 | 35% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 862 | 960 | 36% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1019 | 1157 | 31% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1089 | 45% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1078.9 has a 42.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).