Pape's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (2 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 1013 | 80% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2014-12-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1220.5 vs 1002 has a 77.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).