Pape's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (2 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1250 | 998 | 81% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2014-12-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1200 vs 998.5 has a 76.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).