The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1192 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1214 | 1131 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 1060.3 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).