Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 879 | 1160 | 17% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1127 | 47% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1097 | 977 | 67% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1018 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1092.7 vs 1045.5 has a 56.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).