Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 861 | 82% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1128 | 861 | 82% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1016 | 31% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1129 | 46% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1009 | 59% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1114 | 1016 | 64% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1044 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 898 | 955 | 42% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1021.4 has a 55.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).