Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 978 | 1113 | 31% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 879 | 978 | 36% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1174 | 41% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 1022 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1054 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 905 | 65% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1022.3 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).