Scorpions in a Bottle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1161 | 51% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1405 | 8% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 913 | 68% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1018 | 56% | 2011-05-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1254 | 23% | 2010-10-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 985 | 71% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1122.7 has a 43.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).