Scorpions in a Bottle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 994 | 1430 | 8% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1080 | 876 | 76% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1019 | 56% | 2011-05-23 | Won |
| 1263 | 1130 | 68% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1313 | 21% | 2010-10-17 | Lost |
| 1208 | 985 | 78% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1120.9 vs 1125.4 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).