The Argun Knot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Mongolian): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1066 | 59% | 2021-01-16 | Won |
| 1069 | 945 | 67% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1100 vs 1005.5 has a 63.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).