Knocking on the Front Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2012-05-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-09-22 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 979.8 has a 59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).