Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (10 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1158 | 1117 | 56% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1173 | 46% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 878 | 896 | 47% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1117 | 34% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 981 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1096 | 63% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1068.2 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).