Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 951 | 1128 | 27% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1056 | 62% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1064.9 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).