Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1007 | 52% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 923 | 1133 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 1062 | 48% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1151 | 32% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 1026 | 46% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1051 | 53% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1066.2 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).