The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 968 | 62% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1153 | 23% | 2022-03-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 1015 | 56% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 1015 | 56% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1074 | 1154 | 39% | 2013-06-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1154 | 50% | 2013-05-20 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1056.4 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).