The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-02-09 | | Won |
| 944 | 1164 | 22% | 2022-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-04-06 | | Won |
| 1055 | 991 | 59% | 2014-12-19 | | Won |
| 1055 | 991 | 59% | 2014-12-19 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1136 | 36% | 2013-06-12 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1136 | 56% | 2013-05-20 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 904 | 76% | 2009-04-02 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1056.1 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).