Alaric's Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1031 | 64% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1310 | 22% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1120 | 41% | 2004-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1092.7 vs 1153.7 has a 41.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).