The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 143 (23 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 76
Defender wins (Canadian): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1035 | 40% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 943 | 962 | 47% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 988 | 1152 | 28% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1006 | 52% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1010 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1119 | 37% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 928 | 62% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1412 | 14% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1336 | 17% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1154 | 986 | 72% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1141 | 21% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 965 | 1029 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 934 | 54% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 959 | 75% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1072 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1248 | 1117 | 68% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1196 | 1116 | 61% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1085 | 63% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1058 has a 51.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).