The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (22 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1023 | 42% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1106 | 34% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 955 | 962 | 49% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 1053 | 54% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 977 | 994 | 48% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 936 | 1068 | 32% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1250 | 769 | 94% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 931 | 61% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1310 | 19% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1400 | 15% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1130 | 986 | 70% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 911 | 1151 | 20% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 1041 | 65% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 965 | 1030 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1072 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1106 | 959 | 70% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1047 | 73% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1085 | 59% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1055.4 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).