The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (23 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Canadian): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1034 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 954 | 962 | 49% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 988 | 1169 | 26% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 995 | 52% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 1009 | 55% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1117 | 35% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1225 | 753 | 94% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 929 | 61% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1405 | 13% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1309 | 19% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1136 | 986 | 70% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1143 | 21% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 1041 | 64% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 965 | 1029 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 978 | 47% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1169 | 959 | 77% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1072 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1208 | 1117 | 63% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1080 | 69% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1085 | 64% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1057.3 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).