Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 936 | 1039 | 36% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1060 | 42% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1116 | 1012 | 65% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 990 | 1030 | 44% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 844 | 1126 | 16% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1074 | 55% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 829 | 1139 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 998.4 vs 1079.8 has a 38.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).