River of Blood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (3 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Canadian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 958 | 49% | 2022-08-13 | Won |
| 960 | 923 | 55% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 964.7 vs 949.3 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).