The Last Waltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (5 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1150 | 999 | 70% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
1023 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2004-11-01 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-12-17 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1120.4 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).