Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (6 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 955 | 56% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1152 | 992 | 72% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1097 | 921 | 73% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
1097 | 1068 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
841 | 1141 | 15% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1006.7 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).