The Warlord's Estate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (8 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2024-06-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 932 | 69% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 1169 | 46% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1186 | 902 | 84% | 2012-07-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1065 | 61% | 2009-09-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2009-07-02 | Won |
| 1225 | 1068 | 71% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1173 | 51% | 2007-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1132.4 vs 1007.4 has a 67.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).