The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (American): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1098 | 50% | 2026-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2021-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 979 | 63% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2016-12-10 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1062 | 11% | 2010-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2004-07-11 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1172 | 12% | 2004-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 1999-03-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1996-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 1995-01-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1031.8 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).