The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1227 | 46% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 972 | 74% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1116 | 40% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1055 | 56% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1068 | 33% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 981 | 54% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 979 | 69% | 2012-02-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2004-01-24 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-09-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1075.3 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).