A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (9 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1103 | 45% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 999 | 978 | 53% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 956 | 1130 | 27% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1021 | 68% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 940 | 1164 | 22% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 1164 | 22% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1096.9 has a 39.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).