Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (14 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 41
Defender wins (American): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2025-09-06 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | | Won |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2024-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1108 | 55% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2006-08-31 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1150 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2004-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2002-10-01 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1065 | 55% | 2000-08-12 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1998-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1071 | 832 | 80% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1017.8 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).