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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (11 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1110 | 1126 | 48% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
998 | 958 | 56% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
1098 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
999 | 1098 | 36% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
1259 | 958 | 85% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
1035 | 1011 | 53% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
1069 | 885 | 74% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1069 | 866 | 76% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
1041 | 1164 | 33% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 999.1 has a 60.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).