Black Devils of Bure
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Canadian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-09-02 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-08-22 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1317 | 10% | 2026-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2026-07-13 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2026-06-15 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2026-05-30 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1108.4 has a 39.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).