Black Devils of Bure
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Canadian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Canadian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1231 | 18% | 2026-10-10 | A | Lost |
| 1202 | 1194 | 51% | 2026-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-09-02 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2026-08-22 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1329 | 10% | 2026-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1145 | 48% | 2026-07-13 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1117 | 44% | 2026-06-15 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1149 | 29% | 2026-05-30 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 1129.4 has a 38.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).