The 11th Hour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2026-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1032 | 46% | 2026-07-28 | A | Lost |
| 1053 | 1077 | 47% | 2026-01-18 | | Lost |
| 914 | 1083 | 27% | 2025-12-21 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 989 | 880 | 65% | 2025-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-08-17 | | Won |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2025-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1047 | 68% | 2025-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2025-05-08 | | Won |
| 837 | 1011 | 27% | 2025-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 1026.6 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).