Hot Tigers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2026-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2024-07-27 | | Won |
| 1272 | 978 | 84% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2024-05-29 | | Won |
| 692 | 979 | 16% | 2024-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1127 | 53% | 2024-05-24 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1028 | 41% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 991 | 71% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 1046.8 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).