Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-07 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1036 | 49% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1036 | 49% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1037 | 48% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2024-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 962 | 55% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-06-11 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1006.9 vs 1011.3 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).