Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (19 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1105 | 43% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1060 | 41% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1019 | 80% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1264 | 1019 | 80% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1260 | 1189 | 60% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1120 | 35% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1090 | 66% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1092 | 41% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1057 | 65% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 936 | 66% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 971 | 768 | 76% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084 vs 1062.3 has a 53.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).