Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (18 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1053 | 1169 | 34% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
975 | 1137 | 28% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
1266 | 1002 | 82% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
1266 | 1002 | 82% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
1208 | 1183 | 54% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
1208 | 1098 | 65% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
982 | 1050 | 40% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
1030 | 958 | 60% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
1149 | 1012 | 69% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
975 | 1183 | 23% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
1018 | 948 | 60% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
938 | 788 | 70% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
1013 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1078 vs 1058.7 has a 52.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).