Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (17 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1259 | 940 | 86% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1259 | 940 | 86% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1004 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1100 | 54% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1069 | 64% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 951 | 55% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1074 | 717 | 89% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1058 | 41% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1038.1 has a 55.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).