Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 959 | 58% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1173 | 37% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1054 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 979 | 59% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1097 | 63% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1186 | 1097 | 63% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1061 | 1218 | 29% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1136 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1073 | 67% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1024 | 44% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 979 | 57% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1218 | 30% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 982 | 54% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1055.7 has a 51.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).