It's a Battlefield
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (23 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 40
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 928 | 51% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2024-09-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2024-08-31 | Lost |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2024-06-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 1083 | 43% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 845 | 863 | 47% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 913 | 818 | 63% | 2024-04-19 | Won |
| 872 | 894 | 47% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1050 | 69% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 904 | 65% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 753 | 1225 | 6% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1309 | 1117 | 75% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1225 | 753 | 94% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 864 | 1087 | 22% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1042 | 51% | 2023-12-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 1280 | 1266 | 52% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 905 | 55% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1012 | 1120 | 35% | 2023-10-01 | Won |
| 1178 | 1143 | 55% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1031.4 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).