Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (American): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1113 | 51% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1170 | 46% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 929 | 56% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1082 | 45% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 936 | 81% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 996 | 46% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 1202 | 34% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 901 | 901 | 50% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1070 | 41% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1088 | 48% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1026 | 68% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1050 | 69% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1167 | 1060 | 65% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1006 | 58% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1124 | 36% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1106 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1226 | 45% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1204 | 1031 | 73% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1149 | 61% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1075.8 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).