Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1038 | 44% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 1077 | 41% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 939 | 999 | 41% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 951 | 987 | 45% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1182 | 33% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1138 | 1029 | 65% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 929 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1033.1 has a 48.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).