Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (17 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 964 | 47% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1018 | 45% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1208 | 977 | 79% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 1012 | 54% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 901 | 960 | 42% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1225 | 32% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1195 | 1083 | 66% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 845 | 839 | 51% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 969 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1032.1 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).