Raff's Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1263 | 27% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1097 | 72% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 1120 | 42% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1024 | 75% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
| 1013 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 891 | 1051 | 28% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1013 | 78% | 2023-02-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1064.1 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).