Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (31 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 48
Defender wins (German (SS)): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 847 | 1036 | 25% | 2026-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1106 | 35% | 2026-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 905 | 80% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1195 | 981 | 77% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1132 | 59% | 2024-09-12 | | Lost |
| 928 | 891 | 55% | 2024-08-03 | | Won |
| 891 | 999 | 35% | 2024-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1208 | 69% | 2024-06-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 917 | 1025 | 35% | 2024-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2024-05-12 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1208 | 26% | 2024-04-22 | | Won |
| 978 | 1039 | 41% | 2024-04-18 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1141 | 26% | 2024-03-07 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-02-22 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2024-01-11 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2023-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-05-12 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1033 | 86% | 2023-04-07 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-03-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2023-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1060.4 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).