Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (32 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 1021 | 29% | 2026-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1105 | 35% | 2026-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 915 | 80% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1195 | 950 | 80% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1132 | 59% | 2024-09-12 | | Lost |
| 929 | 891 | 55% | 2024-08-03 | | Won |
| 891 | 999 | 35% | 2024-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1192 | 71% | 2024-06-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 906 | 1025 | 34% | 2024-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2024-05-12 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2024-04-22 | | Won |
| 996 | 1039 | 44% | 2024-04-18 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1138 | 28% | 2024-03-07 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-02-22 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2024-01-11 | | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2023-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2023-05-12 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1038 | 86% | 2023-04-07 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-03-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-02-02 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1055.9 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).