Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (27 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 896 | 80% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 911 | 77% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1120 | 53% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 883 | 71% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 883 | 1051 | 28% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1323 | 1189 | 68% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1313 | 1413 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1093 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 990 | 76% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 971 | 1154 | 26% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1004 | 45% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1202 | 34% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 896 | 63% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1204 | 27% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1323 | 1051 | 83% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1054.9 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).