Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (27 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 951 | 74% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 911 | 78% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1135 | 49% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1185 | 70% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1333 | 1416 | 38% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1059 | 61% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1139 | 22% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1128 | 37% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 887 | 875 | 52% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1139 | 43% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1049 | 951 | 64% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1082 | 81% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1029 | 61% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1185 | 1029 | 71% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1086.1 vs 1057.6 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).