Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (29 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 48
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1064 | 39% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1166 | 967 | 76% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 910 | 79% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1166 | 1135 | 54% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1214 | 68% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1274 | 1423 | 30% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 1030 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 993 | 69% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1095 | 27% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 973 | 1030 | 42% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1214 | 991 | 78% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1039 | 46% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1147 | 29% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 990 | 973 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 887 | 879 | 51% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1177 | 37% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 967 | 47% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1218 | 21% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1249 | 63% | 2023-05-12 | Won |
| 1342 | 986 | 89% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1064 | 38% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1058 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).