Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (4 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-07-22 | | Won |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 944 | 1028 | 38% | 2023-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1010.5 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).