Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (32 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 1318 | 1249 | 60% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 889 | 910 | 47% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1032 | 51% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1218 | 1176 | 56% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1207 | 988 | 78% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 873 | 60% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1019 | 73% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1112 | 931 | 74% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 941 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 990 | 80% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1081 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1028 | 70% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1180 | 1111 | 60% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1207 | 1138 | 60% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1176 | 50% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1072 | 51% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1045 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1018 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1100.3 vs 1032.3 has a 59.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).