Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (30 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 845 | 71% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 992 | 979 | 52% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 883 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 1170 | 46% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1252 | 988 | 82% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 848 | 874 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1010 | 74% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 938 | 72% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 848 | 60% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 958 | 980 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 971 | 81% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1170 | 1016 | 71% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1252 | 1002 | 81% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1252 | 1133 | 66% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1085 | 49% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1075 | 41% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1088.7 vs 1022.9 has a 59.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).