Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 923 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 875 | 1051 | 27% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 905 | 960 | 42% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1259 | 28% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 987 | 1036 | 43% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 881 | 85% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1124 | 992 | 68% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1037.9 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).