Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (34 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2026-03-02 | | Won |
| 1057 | 954 | 64% | 2026-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 994 | 86% | 2026-01-02 | | Won |
| 966 | 916 | 57% | 2025-11-01 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2025-11-01 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-10-25 | | Won |
| 902 | 1000 | 36% | 2025-10-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2025-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2025-09-09 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2025-03-07 | | Tied |
| 1132 | 1159 | 46% | 2024-10-01 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2024-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2024-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1110 | 55% | 2024-02-07 | | Won |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2023-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1077 | 61% | 2023-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-12-29 | | Won |
| 999 | 977 | 53% | 2022-11-16 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2022-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1098 | 45% | 2022-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2022-08-23 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2022-06-22 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2022-05-16 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2022-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 972 | 54% | 2021-09-12 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-09-04 | | Won |
| 1281 | 1000 | 83% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1097 | 61% | 2021-06-15 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1041 | 58% | 2021-01-08 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1055 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).