Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (34 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1255 | 1266 | 48% | 2026-03-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 928 | 67% | 2026-02-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1307 | 999 | 85% | 2026-01-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 931 | 60% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1042 | 38% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 904 | 928 | 47% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1417 | 1423 | 49% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 1012 | 42% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1147 | 50% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1041 | 49% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1100 | 50% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 978 | 1096 | 34% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1124 | 59% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 983 | 56% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1144 | 32% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1255 | 25% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1105 | 992 | 66% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1124 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1157 | 1058 | 64% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1040 | 69% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1061 has a 54.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).