Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (33 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German): 43
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1302 | 999 | 85% | 2026-01-02 | Won |
| 950 | 931 | 53% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1029 | 40% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1419 | 50% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1126 | 53% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1059 | 46% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1084 | 52% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 981 | 1090 | 35% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1122 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1113 | 37% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1181 | 30% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1181 | 1021 | 72% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1024 | 57% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1104 | 939 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1249 | 1123 | 67% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1123 | 52% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1021 | 72% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1050 | 71% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1053.2 has a 55.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).