Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (26 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1415 | 1415 | 50% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 934 | 1039 | 35% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1148 | 1149 | 50% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1084 | 47% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 965 | 1163 | 24% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1130 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1044 | 43% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1143 | 35% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1328 | 1096 | 79% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1144 | 999 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1105 | 972 | 68% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1274 | 1125 | 70% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1114 | 1191 | 39% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1065.7 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).