Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 5
Defender wins (Vichy): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1169 | 49% | 2024-11-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2024-07-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 995 | 52% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1213 | 50% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1096.6 vs 1111.6 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).