Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (23 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 962 | 54% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1116 | 1149 | 45% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 987 | 58% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 882 | 59% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1224 | 32% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 924 | 74% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1064 | 57% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 903 | 1336 | 8% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 1004 | 54% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1161 | 46% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1068 | 42% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1100 | 53% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1141 | 67% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 977 | 1219 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1086.7 has a 44.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).