Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (19 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1266 | 996 | 83% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 963 | 59% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 850 | 910 | 41% | 2022-05-27 | Lost |
| 936 | 1009 | 40% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1266 | 879 | 90% | 2021-04-04 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1103 | 37% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1228 | 55% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1140 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1266 | 1086 | 74% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1065 | 56% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1266 | 1009 | 81% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1266 | 19% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1196 | 1266 | 40% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1116.6 vs 1069.8 has a 56.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).