Anchoring the Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
940 | 998 | 42% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
994 | 977 | 52% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
1150 | 999 | 70% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
917 | 917 | 50% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
1151 | 1043 | 65% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
1023 | 968 | 58% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
959 | 1009 | 43% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
917 | 1116 | 24% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1014.1 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).