Radio X-MAS
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 17
Defender wins (American / Partisan): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 982 | 46% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1045 | 40% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1058 | 46% | 2022-07-10 | Won |
| 1089 | 998 | 63% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1082 | 1069 | 52% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1223 | 1074 | 70% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1310 | 9% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 903 | 1058 | 29% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 973 | 1310 | 13% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1090.3 has a 41.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).